Project #69035 - Government

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This is exercise is about the 2016 Presidential Election and will help you understand political polls and the Electoral College.

 

Go to this website:  www.270towin.com

 

Click on POLLS. Then click on 2016 General Election Polls. Then click on 2016 Presidential Election Polls; Possible Matchups. 

 

Choose the 3 MOST RECENT POLLS pitting Hilary Clinton vs. 3 DIFFERENT REPUBLICANS, using three different polls (meaning polling instruments, e.g., CNN, Quinnipiac, NBC, etc.).  Name the polling instrument and provide the date.  So, for hypothetical example:

 

Choose three polls ( the most current ones) Standard number of individuals being interviewed should be 1000.  Pick the polls who have 1000+ interviewees.  Standard Margin of Error has to be +/-3% .  ThereforeABC News/Washington Post is not a good choice.

ABC News/Washington Post

1/22/2015
843 RV +/- 4%
 
Best choice would be
Quinnipiac
11/26/2014
1,623 RV +/- 2.4%
 
1,011 +/- 3%
 
Third best Choice is : Which has 1009 individuals being interviewed and +/-3%
Fox News
1/29/2015
1,009 RV +/- 3%
 Next choice is Quinnipiac with 1623 individuals being interviewed and a margin of error of +/-2.4%.   Looking at the number of individuals interviewed and the margin of error this could be a good choice:
Quinnipiac
11/26/2014
1,623 RV +/- 2.4%
Clinton VS. Paul           46% to 41% ( Clinton 46% and Paul 41%)
Clinton VS. Bush          46% to 41%  (Clinton 46% and Bush 41%)
Clinton VS. Hukabee    46% to 41%  (Clinton 46% and Hukabee 41%)
Clinton VS. Ryan         46% t0 42%  (Clinton 46% and Ryan 42%)   
Clinton VS. Ramney    44% to 45%  (Clinton 44% and Romney 45%)
Clinton VS. Cruz         48% to 37% (Clinton 48% and Cruz 37%)
Clinton VS. Christie     43% to 42% (Clinton 43% and Christie 42%)

 

Please note that all your answer should be in an essay format (MLA Style)

Introduction, body and conclusion.

According to these polls:

 

  • Does Hilary Clinton lose to any of the listed Republican candidates?   
  • Who would be the “best” Republican candidate to face Ms. Clinton?
  • Who would the “weakest” Republican to face Ms. Clinton?
  • Which poll is more statistically accurate overall? EXPLAIN Why 
  • http://www.learner.org/interactives/statistics/5percent2.html
  • Given the 2012 Electoral College results (see the map on the home page of the website), which party has an advantage in the 2016 Presidential Election? Why? 
  • Please respond to these questions in essay format, and submit via eCampus.

Subject General
Due By (Pacific Time) 05/11/2015 12:00 pm
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